DDM Analysis: URI

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$655.90 - $1,289.25	$905.58
Multi-Stage	$492.91 - $538.15	$515.12
Blended Fair Value	$710.35
Current Price	$954.66
Upside	-25.59%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	6.66	6.23	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	6.90%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.06%	0.88%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,530.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	458.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,072.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	506.00	316.25	189.75
Cash Retained (M)	2,072.00	2,072.00	2,072.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-506.00	-316.25	-189.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,566.00	1,755.75	1,882.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	65.21	65.21	65.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share	24.01	26.92	28.86
LTM Dividend per Share	7.02	7.02	7.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share	24.01	26.92	28.86
(=) Adjusted Dividend	31.04	33.95	35.89
WACC / Discount Rate	10.49%	10.49%	10.49%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$655.90	$905.58	$1,289.25
Upside / Downside	-31.29%	-5.14%	35.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,530.00	2,694.45	2,869.59	3,056.11	3,254.76	3,466.32	3,570.31
Payout Ratio	18.10%	32.48%	46.86%	61.24%	75.62%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	458.00	875.22	1,344.74	1,871.60	2,461.27	3,119.69	3,302.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.49%	10.49%	10.49%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	784.67	792.11	799.54
Year 2 PV (M)	1,080.88	1,101.47	1,122.25
Year 3 PV (M)	1,348.73	1,387.44	1,426.90
Year 4 PV (M)	1,590.16	1,651.31	1,714.21
Year 5 PV (M)	1,807.02	1,894.30	1,984.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)	25,531.79	26,764.98	28,045.38
Equity Value (M)	32,143.25	33,591.62	35,093.21
Shares Outstanding (M)	65.21	65.21	65.21
Fair Value	$492.91	$515.12	$538.15
Upside / Downside	-48.37%	-46.04%	-43.63%

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United Rentals, Inc. (URI)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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