DDM Analysis: PARP.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$13.90 - $20.86	$17.20
Multi-Stage	$27.32 - $30.05	$28.66
Blended Fair Value	$22.93
Current Price	$18.15
Upside	26.34%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.32	0.32	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.10	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.03%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.52%	1.83%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.31%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	15.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	6.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)	9.78

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	3.19	1.99	1.20
Cash Retained (M)	9.78	9.78	9.78
(-) Cash Required (M)	-3.19	-1.99	-1.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)	6.60	7.79	8.59
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	9.62	9.62	9.62
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.69	0.81	0.89
LTM Dividend per Share	0.64	0.64	0.64
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.69	0.81	0.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.33	1.45	1.53
WACC / Discount Rate	7.35%	7.35%	7.35%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$13.90	$17.20	$20.86
Upside / Downside	-23.42%	-5.25%	14.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	15.94	15.78	15.62	15.46	15.31	15.16	15.61
Payout Ratio	38.61%	48.89%	59.16%	69.44%	79.72%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	6.15	7.71	9.24	10.74	12.20	13.64	14.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.35%	7.35%	7.35%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	7.11	7.19	7.26
Year 2 PV (M)	7.86	8.02	8.18
Year 3 PV (M)	8.42	8.68	8.95
Year 4 PV (M)	8.82	9.19	9.57
Year 5 PV (M)	9.10	9.57	10.06
PV of Terminal Value (M)	221.45	232.98	244.99
Equity Value (M)	262.76	275.63	289.00
Shares Outstanding (M)	9.62	9.62	9.62
Fair Value	$27.32	$28.66	$30.05
Upside / Downside	50.55%	57.92%	65.59%

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Groupe Partouche S.A. (PARP.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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