DDM Analysis: PARAUCO.SN

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$17,992.06 - $29,467.90	$27,615.74
Multi-Stage	$4,790.08 - $5,243.65	$5,012.69
Blended Fair Value	$16,314.21
Current Price	$2,434.00
Upside	570.26%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	9.32%	9.53%	69.18	57.50	37.42	6.88	26.21	44.31	38.37	35.09	32.34	27.13
YoY Growth	-	-	20.32%	53.67%	443.96%	-73.76%	-40.85%	15.50%	9.34%	8.51%	19.20%	-2.54%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.66%	4.05%	3.31%	0.83%	1.87%	3.69%	2.10%	1.93%	1.85%	2.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	134,202.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	56,811.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)	77,390.67

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	26,840.52	16,775.33	10,065.20
Cash Retained (M)	77,390.67	77,390.67	77,390.67
(-) Cash Required (M)	-26,840.52	-16,775.33	-10,065.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)	50,550.14	60,615.34	67,325.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	905.72	905.72	905.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share	55.81	66.93	74.33
LTM Dividend per Share	62.73	62.73	62.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share	55.81	66.93	74.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend	118.54	129.65	137.06
WACC / Discount Rate	6.20%	6.20%	6.20%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$17,992.06	$27,615.74	$29,467.90
Upside / Downside	639.20%	1,034.58%	1,110.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	134,202.62	142,925.79	152,215.97	162,110.00	172,647.15	183,869.22	189,385.30
Payout Ratio	42.33%	51.87%	61.40%	70.93%	80.47%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	56,811.95	74,130.43	93,460.27	114,989.79	138,923.28	165,482.30	175,181.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.20%	6.20%	6.20%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	69,150.44	69,805.90	70,461.35
Year 2 PV (M)	81,324.99	82,874.00	84,437.62
Year 3 PV (M)	93,337.19	96,016.57	98,746.74
Year 4 PV (M)	105,188.67	109,233.93	113,394.76
Year 5 PV (M)	116,881.01	122,526.41	128,387.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)	3,872,572.95	4,059,619.68	4,253,825.12
Equity Value (M)	4,338,455.26	4,540,076.48	4,749,253.46
Shares Outstanding (M)	905.72	905.72	905.72
Fair Value	$4,790.08	$5,012.69	$5,243.65
Upside / Downside	96.80%	105.94%	115.43%

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Parque Arauco S.A. (PARAUCO.SN)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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