Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

Invesco Perpetual Select Trust plc - UK Equity Share Portfolio (IVPU.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.44 - $0.55$0.50
Multi-Stage$0.77 - $0.87$0.82
Blended Fair Value$0.66
Current Price$1.57
Upside-57.84%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS0.00%8.00%0.090.090.050.060.060.000.060.060.050.04
YoY Growth---2.29%92.48%-16.34%-3.84%0.00%-100.00%2.75%13.59%21.76%0.79%
Dividend Yield--5.63%5.26%2.66%4.09%3.42%0.00%3.11%3.56%2.97%2.75%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)22.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)14.59
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.512.821.69
Cash Retained (M)14.5914.5914.59
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.51-2.82-1.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)10.0811.7712.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)75.8375.8375.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.160.17
LTM Dividend per Share0.110.110.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.160.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.240.260.28
WACC / Discount Rate9.80%9.80%9.80%
Growth Rate-28.61%-27.61%-26.61%
Fair Value$0.44$0.50$0.55
Upside / Downside-71.82%-67.91%-64.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)22.5616.3311.828.566.204.494.62
Payout Ratio35.31%46.25%57.19%68.13%79.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.977.556.765.834.904.044.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.80%9.80%9.80%
Growth Rate-28.61%-27.61%-26.61%
Year 1 PV (M)6.786.886.97
Year 2 PV (M)5.455.615.76
Year 3 PV (M)4.224.404.59
Year 4 PV (M)3.193.373.56
Year 5 PV (M)2.362.532.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)36.7339.3842.17
Equity Value (M)58.7462.1765.77
Shares Outstanding (M)75.8375.8375.83
Fair Value$0.77$0.82$0.87
Upside / Downside-50.66%-47.78%-44.75%

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