DDM Analysis: IHG.L

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$96.25 - $158.71	$123.98
Multi-Stage	$199.57 - $219.59	$209.39
Blended Fair Value	$166.68
Current Price	$114.02
Upside	46.19%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-18.52%	-12.11%	1.59	1.50	1.43	0.00	0.00	4.42	1.22	3.64	10.39	1.15
YoY Growth	-	-	5.71%	5.15%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	262.31%	-66.44%	-64.97%	800.53%	-80.04%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.28%	1.67%	2.49%	0.00%	0.00%	6.41%	2.26%	5.72%	23.16%	2.95%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,388.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	518.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	870.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	277.60	173.50	104.10
Cash Retained (M)	870.00	870.00	870.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-277.60	-173.50	-104.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)	592.40	696.50	765.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	162.95	162.95	162.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share	3.64	4.27	4.70
LTM Dividend per Share	3.18	3.18	3.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share	3.64	4.27	4.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend	6.81	7.45	7.88
WACC / Discount Rate	6.27%	6.27%	6.27%
Growth Rate	-0.75%	0.25%	1.25%
Fair Value	$96.25	$123.98	$158.71
Upside / Downside	-15.59%	8.73%	39.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,388.00	1,391.44	1,394.89	1,398.35	1,401.82	1,405.29	1,447.45
Payout Ratio	37.32%	47.86%	58.39%	68.93%	79.46%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	518.00	665.89	814.50	963.85	1,113.94	1,264.76	1,338.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.27%	6.27%	6.27%
Growth Rate	-0.75%	0.25%	1.25%
Year 1 PV (M)	620.32	626.57	632.82
Year 2 PV (M)	706.85	721.17	735.63
Year 3 PV (M)	779.23	803.02	827.29
Year 4 PV (M)	838.94	873.27	908.64
Year 5 PV (M)	887.35	932.97	980.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)	28,688.51	30,163.23	31,697.98
Equity Value (M)	32,521.21	34,120.22	35,782.79
Shares Outstanding (M)	162.95	162.95	162.95
Fair Value	$199.57	$209.39	$219.59
Upside / Downside	75.03%	83.64%	92.59%

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InterContinental Hotels Group PLC (IHG.L)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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