DDM Analysis: HLE.DE

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$21.88 - $32.26	$26.86
Multi-Stage	$39.31 - $43.23	$41.23
Blended Fair Value	$34.05
Current Price	$87.10
Upside	-60.91%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.73	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.84%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	311.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	86.79
(=) Cash Retained (M)	224.31

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	62.22	38.89	23.33
Cash Retained (M)	224.31	224.31	224.31
(-) Cash Required (M)	-62.22	-38.89	-23.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)	162.09	185.42	200.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	111.48	111.48	111.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.45	1.66	1.80
LTM Dividend per Share	0.78	0.78	0.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.45	1.66	1.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend	2.23	2.44	2.58
WACC / Discount Rate	8.00%	8.00%	8.00%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$21.88	$26.86	$32.26
Upside / Downside	-74.88%	-69.16%	-62.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	311.10	307.99	304.91	301.86	298.84	295.85	304.73
Payout Ratio	27.90%	40.32%	52.74%	65.16%	77.58%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	86.79	124.17	160.80	196.69	231.84	266.27	281.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.00%	8.00%	8.00%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	113.81	114.97	116.14
Year 2 PV (M)	135.09	137.86	140.66
Year 3 PV (M)	151.45	156.13	160.91
Year 4 PV (M)	163.62	170.40	177.39
Year 5 PV (M)	172.24	181.21	190.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)	3,646.42	3,836.30	4,034.01
Equity Value (M)	4,382.65	4,596.89	4,819.67
Shares Outstanding (M)	111.48	111.48	111.48
Fair Value	$39.31	$41.23	$43.23
Upside / Downside	-54.87%	-52.66%	-50.36%

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HELLA GmbH & Co. KGaA (HLE.DE)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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