DDM Analysis: EMTK.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$3,393.41 - $17,866.05	$6,783.67
Multi-Stage	$2,397.34 - $2,624.27	$2,508.71
Blended Fair Value	$4,646.19
Current Price	$484.00
Upside	859.96%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	10.77%	-3.39%	8.73	7.23	6.14	0.04	0.00	5.23	7.00	9.16	14.08	47.40
YoY Growth	-	-	20.79%	17.75%	17,347.96%	0.00%	-100.00%	-25.25%	-23.58%	-34.92%	-70.30%	284.71%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.60%	1.65%	0.78%	0.00%	0.00%	1.05%	0.86%	1.07%	1.60%	5.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	5,545,680.85
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	2,687,775.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,857,905.26

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,109,136.17	693,210.11	415,926.06
Cash Retained (M)	2,857,905.26	2,857,905.26	2,857,905.26
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,109,136.17	-693,210.11	-415,926.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,748,769.09	2,164,695.15	2,441,979.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	61,152.37	61,152.37	61,152.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share	28.60	35.40	39.93
LTM Dividend per Share	43.95	43.95	43.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share	28.60	35.40	39.93
(=) Adjusted Dividend	72.55	79.35	83.88
WACC / Discount Rate	6.73%	6.73%	6.73%
Growth Rate	4.49%	5.49%	6.49%
Fair Value	$3,393.41	$6,783.67	$17,866.05
Upside / Downside	601.12%	1,301.58%	3,591.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	5,545,680.85	5,850,225.32	6,171,494.05	6,510,405.44	6,867,928.36	7,245,084.88	7,462,437.42
Payout Ratio	48.47%	56.77%	65.08%	73.39%	81.69%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	2,687,775.59	3,321,341.71	4,016,387.59	4,777,754.96	5,610,631.92	6,520,576.39	6,902,754.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.73%	6.73%	6.73%
Growth Rate	4.49%	5.49%	6.49%
Year 1 PV (M)	3,082,540.22	3,112,040.59	3,141,540.96
Year 2 PV (M)	3,459,600.88	3,526,135.55	3,593,303.92
Year 3 PV (M)	3,819,525.79	3,930,238.91	4,043,071.06
Year 4 PV (M)	4,162,867.08	4,324,526.38	4,490,848.96
Year 5 PV (M)	4,490,161.33	4,709,170.92	4,936,644.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)	127,588,259.65	133,811,433.02	140,275,102.07
Equity Value (M)	146,602,954.96	153,413,545.37	160,480,511.14
Shares Outstanding (M)	61,152.37	61,152.37	61,152.37
Fair Value	$2,397.34	$2,508.71	$2,624.27
Upside / Downside	395.32%	418.33%	442.21%

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PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk (EMTK.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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