Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Emera Incorporated (EMA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$343.15 - $782.18$733.01
Multi-Stage$123.38 - $135.04$129.10
Blended Fair Value$431.06
Current Price$66.76
Upside545.68%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.31%9.86%1.801.641.581.491.371.271.160.960.740.54
YoY Growth--10.25%3.39%6.55%8.31%8.20%9.25%20.56%29.86%36.42%-22.86%
Dividend Yield--2.98%3.48%2.85%2.40%2.45%2.29%2.33%2.36%1.57%1.14%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,175.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)581.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)594.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)235.00146.8888.13
Cash Retained (M)594.00594.00594.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-235.00-146.88-88.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)359.00447.13505.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)298.24298.24298.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.201.501.70
LTM Dividend per Share1.951.951.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.201.501.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.153.453.64
WACC / Discount Rate6.28%6.28%6.28%
Growth Rate5.31%6.31%7.31%
Fair Value$343.15$733.01$782.18
Upside / Downside414.01%997.98%1,071.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,175.001,249.191,328.071,411.931,501.091,595.871,643.75
Payout Ratio49.45%57.56%65.67%73.78%81.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)581.00719.00872.121,041.711,229.231,436.291,520.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.28%6.28%6.28%
Growth Rate5.31%6.31%7.31%
Year 1 PV (M)670.14676.51682.87
Year 2 PV (M)757.62772.07786.67
Year 3 PV (M)843.44867.70892.42
Year 4 PV (M)927.65963.381,000.15
Year 5 PV (M)1,010.241,059.131,109.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)32,587.9834,164.8235,802.11
Equity Value (M)36,797.0838,503.6140,274.10
Shares Outstanding (M)298.24298.24298.24
Fair Value$123.38$129.10$135.04
Upside / Downside84.82%93.39%102.28%

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