DDM Analysis: CUV.AX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$30.44 - $73.08	$45.09
Multi-Stage	$21.02 - $22.99	$21.99
Blended Fair Value	$33.54
Current Price	$10.38
Upside	223.10%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	15.39%	0.00%	0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	1.37%	24.99%	60.00%	0.00%	0.92%	27.88%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.48%	0.32%	0.22%	0.16%	0.08%	0.09%	0.06%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	71.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	4.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)	66.83

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	14.36	8.98	5.39
Cash Retained (M)	66.83	66.83	66.83
(-) Cash Required (M)	-14.36	-8.98	-5.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)	52.47	57.86	61.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	50.69	50.69	50.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.04	1.14	1.21
LTM Dividend per Share	0.10	0.10	0.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.04	1.14	1.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.13	1.24	1.31
WACC / Discount Rate	9.43%	9.43%	9.43%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$30.44	$45.09	$73.08
Upside / Downside	193.26%	334.39%	604.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	71.81	76.48	81.45	86.74	92.38	98.38	101.34
Payout Ratio	6.93%	23.54%	40.16%	56.77%	73.39%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	4.97	18.00	32.71	49.24	67.79	88.55	93.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.43%	9.43%	9.43%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	16.30	16.45	16.61
Year 2 PV (M)	26.80	27.31	27.83
Year 3 PV (M)	36.53	37.58	38.65
Year 4 PV (M)	45.53	47.28	49.08
Year 5 PV (M)	53.83	56.43	59.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)	886.63	929.45	973.91
Equity Value (M)	1,065.62	1,114.51	1,165.21
Shares Outstanding (M)	50.69	50.69	50.69
Fair Value	$21.02	$21.99	$22.99
Upside / Downside	102.51%	111.80%	121.44%

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Clinuvel Pharmaceuticals Limited (CUV.AX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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