DDM Analysis: CNDF.PA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$64.19 - $97.27	$79.75
Multi-Stage	$128.76 - $141.86	$135.18
Blended Fair Value	$107.47
Current Price	$14.54
Upside	639.11%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.89	0.73	1.04	0.99	0.95	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	22.72%	-30.49%	5.20%	4.81%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	6.13%	5.76%	6.32%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	309.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	43.92
(=) Cash Retained (M)	265.67

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	61.92	38.70	23.22
Cash Retained (M)	265.67	265.67	265.67
(-) Cash Required (M)	-61.92	-38.70	-23.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)	203.75	226.97	242.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	41.87	41.87	41.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share	4.87	5.42	5.79
LTM Dividend per Share	1.05	1.05	1.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share	4.87	5.42	5.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend	5.92	6.47	6.84
WACC / Discount Rate	7.03%	7.03%	7.03%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$64.19	$79.75	$97.27
Upside / Downside	341.45%	448.50%	568.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	309.60	306.50	303.44	300.40	297.40	294.42	303.26
Payout Ratio	14.19%	29.35%	44.51%	59.67%	74.84%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	43.92	89.96	135.07	179.26	222.56	264.98	280.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.03%	7.03%	7.03%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	83.20	84.05	84.90
Year 2 PV (M)	115.53	117.90	120.30
Year 3 PV (M)	141.82	146.20	150.68
Year 4 PV (M)	162.85	169.59	176.55
Year 5 PV (M)	179.31	188.65	198.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)	4,708.57	4,953.75	5,209.05
Equity Value (M)	5,391.28	5,660.15	5,939.85
Shares Outstanding (M)	41.87	41.87	41.87
Fair Value	$128.76	$135.18	$141.86
Upside / Downside	785.56%	829.73%	875.67%

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Caisse Régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel Nord de France Société coopérative (CNDF.PA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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