DDM Analysis: CEMEXCPO.MX

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.82 - $1.25	$1.02
Multi-Stage	$1.22 - $1.34	$1.28
Blended Fair Value	$1.15
Current Price	$0.69
Upside	66.22%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-9.71%	0.00%	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-25.00%	135.29%	112.50%	0.00%	-84.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.07%	0.88%	0.62%	0.30%	0.23%	4.81%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,364.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	268.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,096.32

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	272.87	170.55	102.33
Cash Retained (M)	1,096.32	1,096.32	1,096.32
(-) Cash Required (M)	-272.87	-170.55	-102.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)	823.45	925.78	994.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	14,956.41	14,956.41	14,956.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.06	0.06	0.07
LTM Dividend per Share	0.02	0.02	0.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.06	0.06	0.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.07	0.08	0.08
WACC / Discount Rate	8.64%	8.64%	8.64%
Growth Rate	-0.21%	0.79%	1.79%
Fair Value	$0.82	$1.02	$1.25
Upside / Downside	18.77%	47.92%	80.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,364.37	1,375.09	1,385.90	1,396.79	1,407.77	1,418.84	1,461.40
Payout Ratio	19.65%	33.72%	47.79%	61.86%	75.93%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	268.05	463.64	662.29	864.04	1,068.91	1,276.95	1,351.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.64%	8.64%	8.64%
Growth Rate	-0.21%	0.79%	1.79%
Year 1 PV (M)	422.53	426.77	431.00
Year 2 PV (M)	550.06	561.14	572.33
Year 3 PV (M)	654.00	673.86	694.11
Year 4 PV (M)	737.34	767.34	798.25
Year 5 PV (M)	802.75	843.79	886.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)	15,068.63	15,838.97	16,640.49
Equity Value (M)	18,235.32	19,111.87	20,022.68
Shares Outstanding (M)	14,956.41	14,956.41	14,956.41
Fair Value	$1.22	$1.28	$1.34
Upside / Downside	76.06%	84.53%	93.32%

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CEMEX, S.A.B. de C.V. (CEMEXCPO.MX)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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