DDM Analysis: BRIS.JK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$4,832.00 - $19,451.40	$8,254.36
Multi-Stage	$2,976.51 - $3,255.93	$3,113.67
Blended Fair Value	$5,684.01
Current Price	$2,590.00
Upside	119.46%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	140.38%	0.00%	18.55	9.24	16.41	0.00	5.52	0.23	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	100.83%	-43.73%	0.00%	-100.00%	2,290.32%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.79%	0.36%	0.98%	0.00%	0.25%	0.12%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	7,467,578.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,050,883.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	6,416,695.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,493,515.60	933,447.25	560,068.35
Cash Retained (M)	6,416,695.00	6,416,695.00	6,416,695.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,493,515.60	-933,447.25	-560,068.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)	4,923,179.40	5,483,247.75	5,856,626.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	46,130.15	46,130.15	46,130.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share	106.72	118.86	126.96
LTM Dividend per Share	22.78	22.78	22.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share	106.72	118.86	126.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend	129.50	141.65	149.74
WACC / Discount Rate	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$4,832.00	$8,254.36	$19,451.40
Upside / Downside	86.56%	218.70%	651.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	7,467,578.00	7,952,970.57	8,469,913.66	9,020,458.04	9,606,787.82	10,231,229.03	10,538,165.90
Payout Ratio	14.07%	29.26%	44.44%	59.63%	74.81%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,050,883.00	2,326,887.02	3,764,331.58	5,378,812.83	7,187,272.35	9,208,106.12	9,747,803.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.33%	8.33%	8.33%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	2,127,841.27	2,148,010.38	2,168,179.49
Year 2 PV (M)	3,147,862.35	3,207,820.28	3,268,343.86
Year 3 PV (M)	4,113,184.83	4,231,259.58	4,351,572.66
Year 4 PV (M)	5,025,969.24	5,219,253.83	5,418,060.43
Year 5 PV (M)	5,888,300.57	6,172,707.69	6,467,999.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)	117,003,508.66	122,654,821.88	128,522,424.16
Equity Value (M)	137,306,666.91	143,633,873.65	150,196,580.33
Shares Outstanding (M)	46,130.15	46,130.15	46,130.15
Fair Value	$2,976.51	$3,113.67	$3,255.93
Upside / Downside	14.92%	20.22%	25.71%

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PT Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk (BRIS.JK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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