DDM Analysis: ARASE.IS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$575.31 - $1,132.74	$1,061.54
Multi-Stage	$176.02 - $192.66	$184.18
Blended Fair Value	$622.86
Current Price	$54.05
Upside	1,052.38%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018
DPS	21.09%	0.00%	1.00	0.56	0.66	0.65	0.49	0.38	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	79.36%	-15.22%	1.09%	33.40%	26.97%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.48%	0.89%	1.83%	2.77%	1.65%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,423.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	594.09
(=) Cash Retained (M)	829.84

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	284.79	177.99	106.80
Cash Retained (M)	829.84	829.84	829.84
(-) Cash Required (M)	-284.79	-177.99	-106.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)	545.06	651.85	723.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	250.00	250.00	250.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	2.18	2.61	2.89
LTM Dividend per Share	2.38	2.38	2.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share	2.18	2.61	2.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend	4.56	4.98	5.27
WACC / Discount Rate	6.34%	6.34%	6.34%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$575.31	$1,061.54	$1,132.74
Upside / Downside	964.41%	1,864.00%	1,995.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,423.94	1,516.49	1,615.06	1,720.04	1,831.85	1,950.92	2,009.44
Payout Ratio	41.72%	51.38%	61.03%	70.69%	80.34%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	594.09	779.14	985.72	1,215.88	1,471.78	1,755.82	1,858.73

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.34%	6.34%	6.34%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	725.83	732.71	739.59
Year 2 PV (M)	855.47	871.76	888.21
Year 3 PV (M)	983.02	1,011.24	1,039.99
Year 4 PV (M)	1,108.51	1,151.14	1,194.99
Year 5 PV (M)	1,231.98	1,291.48	1,353.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)	39,099.17	40,987.67	42,948.45
Equity Value (M)	44,003.98	46,046.01	48,164.50
Shares Outstanding (M)	250.00	250.00	250.00
Fair Value	$176.02	$184.18	$192.66
Upside / Downside	225.65%	240.77%	256.44%

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Dogu Aras Enerji Yatirimlari AS (ARASE.IS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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