DDM Analysis: ALOS3.SA

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$134.28 - $292.82	$274.42
Multi-Stage	$45.40 - $49.63	$47.47
Blended Fair Value	$160.95
Current Price	$25.83
Upside	523.10%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	54.85%	36.16%	1.49	0.57	0.20	0.12	0.00	0.17	0.05	0.07	0.07	0.07
YoY Growth	-	-	160.10%	187.21%	69.97%	0.00%	-100.00%	262.04%	-32.03%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	7.81%	2.43%	1.14%	0.51%	0.00%	0.63%	0.16%	0.28%	0.31%	0.43%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	750.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	609.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	141.51

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	150.10	93.81	56.29
Cash Retained (M)	141.51	141.51	141.51
(-) Cash Required (M)	-150.10	-93.81	-56.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-8.60	47.69	85.22
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	509.72	509.72	509.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.02	0.09	0.17
LTM Dividend per Share	1.19	1.19	1.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.02	0.09	0.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.18	1.29	1.36
WACC / Discount Rate	6.43%	6.43%	6.43%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$134.28	$274.42	$292.82
Upside / Downside	419.84%	962.39%	1,033.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	750.51	799.29	851.24	906.57	965.50	1,028.26	1,059.10
Payout Ratio	81.15%	82.92%	84.69%	86.46%	88.23%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	609.00	662.74	720.89	783.81	851.85	925.43	979.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.43%	6.43%	6.43%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	616.88	622.73	628.57
Year 2 PV (M)	624.58	636.47	648.48
Year 3 PV (M)	632.09	650.24	668.73
Year 4 PV (M)	639.43	664.02	689.31
Year 5 PV (M)	646.59	677.82	710.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)	19,982.26	20,947.41	21,949.50
Equity Value (M)	23,141.83	24,198.69	25,294.84
Shares Outstanding (M)	509.72	509.72	509.72
Fair Value	$45.40	$47.47	$49.63
Upside / Downside	75.77%	83.80%	92.12%

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Allos S.A. (ALOS3.SA)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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