DDM Analysis: 7447.T

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$768.99 - $1,189.41	$963.99
Multi-Stage	$1,833.91 - $2,016.86	$1,923.59
Blended Fair Value	$1,443.79
Current Price	$2,034.00
Upside	-29.02%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
DPS	-1.09%	0.99%	60.77	61.97	62.28	63.43	63.43	64.19	64.19	64.18	53.51	106.98
YoY Growth	-	-	-1.94%	-0.50%	-1.82%	0.01%	-1.18%	0.00%	0.01%	19.95%	-49.98%	94.21%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.99%	2.90%	2.74%	3.16%	2.71%	2.38%	2.49%	2.31%	1.99%	4.51%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,572.84
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	1,888.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	684.84

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	514.57	321.61	192.96
Cash Retained (M)	684.84	684.84	684.84
(-) Cash Required (M)	-514.57	-321.61	-192.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)	170.27	363.24	491.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	31.08	31.08	31.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share	5.48	11.69	15.83
LTM Dividend per Share	60.76	60.76	60.76
(+) Excess Retained per Share	5.48	11.69	15.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend	66.24	72.44	76.58
WACC / Discount Rate	6.34%	6.34%	6.34%
Growth Rate	-2.10%	-1.10%	-0.10%
Fair Value	$768.99	$963.99	$1,189.41
Upside / Downside	-62.19%	-52.61%	-41.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,572.84	2,544.62	2,516.70	2,489.09	2,461.79	2,434.78	2,507.82
Payout Ratio	73.38%	76.71%	80.03%	83.35%	86.68%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	1,888.00	1,951.86	2,014.09	2,074.73	2,133.79	2,191.30	2,319.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.34%	6.34%	6.34%
Growth Rate	-2.10%	-1.10%	-0.10%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,817.01	1,835.57	1,854.13
Year 2 PV (M)	1,745.40	1,781.24	1,817.44
Year 3 PV (M)	1,673.73	1,725.54	1,778.41
Year 4 PV (M)	1,602.44	1,668.92	1,737.45
Year 5 PV (M)	1,531.94	1,611.79	1,694.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)	48,618.86	51,153.12	53,791.97
Equity Value (M)	56,989.38	59,776.18	62,674.34
Shares Outstanding (M)	31.08	31.08	31.08
Fair Value	$1,833.91	$1,923.59	$2,016.86
Upside / Downside	-9.84%	-5.43%	-0.84%

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Nagaileben Co., Ltd. (7447.T)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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