DDM Analysis: 688799.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$185.47 - $452.17	$423.75
Multi-Stage	$67.28 - $73.57	$70.37
Blended Fair Value	$247.06
Current Price	$57.18
Upside	332.07%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2015	2014
DPS	19.68%	42.65%	0.92	0.90	0.70	0.00	0.38	0.38	0.01	0.02	0.02	0.03
YoY Growth	-	-	2.26%	28.61%	0.00%	-100.00%	-0.04%	4,771.22%	-65.36%	42.45%	-43.19%	4.06%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.25%	2.46%	2.66%	0.00%	0.97%	0.97%	0.00%	0.00%	0.04%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	213.03
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	143.03
(=) Cash Retained (M)	70.01

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	42.61	26.63	15.98
Cash Retained (M)	70.01	70.01	70.01
(-) Cash Required (M)	-42.61	-26.63	-15.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)	27.40	43.38	54.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	93.70	93.70	93.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.29	0.46	0.58
LTM Dividend per Share	1.53	1.53	1.53
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.29	0.46	0.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.82	1.99	2.10
WACC / Discount Rate	6.53%	6.53%	6.53%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$185.47	$423.75	$452.17
Upside / Downside	224.36%	641.09%	690.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	213.03	226.88	241.63	257.33	274.06	291.87	300.63
Payout Ratio	67.14%	71.71%	76.28%	80.86%	85.43%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	143.03	162.70	184.32	208.07	234.12	262.68	278.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.53%	6.53%	6.53%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	151.28	152.72	154.15
Year 2 PV (M)	159.37	162.40	165.47
Year 3 PV (M)	167.28	172.08	176.97
Year 4 PV (M)	175.02	181.75	188.67
Year 5 PV (M)	182.60	191.42	200.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)	5,468.72	5,732.86	6,007.11
Equity Value (M)	6,304.26	6,593.22	6,892.94
Shares Outstanding (M)	93.70	93.70	93.70
Fair Value	$67.28	$70.37	$73.57
Upside / Downside	17.67%	23.06%	28.66%

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Hunan Warrant Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd (688799.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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