Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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New Cosmos Electric Co.,Ltd. (6824.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$20,519.25 - $56,814.35$53,243.36
Multi-Stage$7,865.32 - $8,612.42$8,232.00
Blended Fair Value$30,737.68
Current Price$2,667.00
Upside1,052.52%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%48.080.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.80%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,531.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)742.23
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,788.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)706.20441.38264.83
Cash Retained (M)2,788.772,788.772,788.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-706.20-441.38-264.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,082.572,347.392,523.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.3612.3612.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share168.49189.92204.20
LTM Dividend per Share60.0560.0560.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share168.49189.92204.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend228.54249.97264.25
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$20,519.25$53,243.36$56,814.35
Upside / Downside669.38%1,896.38%2,030.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,531.003,760.524,004.954,265.274,542.514,837.784,982.91
Payout Ratio21.02%34.82%48.61%62.41%76.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)742.231,309.281,946.902,661.883,461.584,354.004,609.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,215.821,227.351,238.87
Year 2 PV (M)1,678.891,710.871,743.15
Year 3 PV (M)2,131.612,192.802,255.15
Year 4 PV (M)2,574.152,673.152,774.97
Year 5 PV (M)3,006.693,151.913,302.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)86,608.5190,791.7395,135.06
Equity Value (M)97,215.67101,747.81106,449.90
Shares Outstanding (M)12.3612.3612.36
Fair Value$7,865.32$8,232.00$8,612.42
Upside / Downside194.91%208.66%222.93%

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