DDM Analysis: 605305.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$46.23 - $99.56	$65.99
Multi-Stage	$33.60 - $36.70	$35.12
Blended Fair Value	$50.55
Current Price	$41.53
Upside	21.72%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	8.73%	75.32%	0.20	0.31	0.33	0.26	0.20	0.13	0.10	0.07	0.02	0.02
YoY Growth	-	-	-36.36%	-3.92%	25.15%	30.49%	52.21%	29.89%	53.74%	203.03%	40.65%	2,020.60%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.71%	1.17%	1.01%	0.84%	0.71%	0.46%	0.36%	0.23%	0.08%	0.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	514.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	95.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)	419.32

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	102.99	64.37	38.62
Cash Retained (M)	419.32	419.32	419.32
(-) Cash Required (M)	-102.99	-64.37	-38.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)	316.33	354.95	380.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	212.94	212.94	212.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.49	1.67	1.79
LTM Dividend per Share	0.45	0.45	0.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.49	1.67	1.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.93	2.12	2.24
WACC / Discount Rate	9.92%	9.92%	9.92%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$46.23	$65.99	$99.56
Upside / Downside	11.31%	58.89%	139.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	514.96	548.43	584.08	622.04	662.48	705.54	726.70
Payout Ratio	18.57%	32.86%	47.14%	61.43%	75.71%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	95.63	180.20	275.35	382.11	501.59	634.98	672.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.92%	9.92%	9.92%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	162.40	163.94	165.48
Year 2 PV (M)	223.65	227.91	232.21
Year 3 PV (M)	279.72	287.75	295.93
Year 4 PV (M)	330.92	343.65	356.74
Year 5 PV (M)	377.56	395.80	414.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)	5,779.85	6,059.02	6,348.87
Equity Value (M)	7,154.11	7,478.07	7,813.97
Shares Outstanding (M)	212.94	212.94	212.94
Fair Value	$33.60	$35.12	$36.70
Upside / Downside	-19.10%	-15.44%	-11.64%

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Ficont Industry (Beijing) Co., Ltd. (605305.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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