DDM Analysis: 601958.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$18.61 - $40.98	$26.77
Multi-Stage	$13.34 - $14.57	$13.94
Blended Fair Value	$20.36
Current Price	$15.45
Upside	31.76%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	12.87%	17.00%	0.27	0.30	0.10	0.25	0.30	0.14	0.06	0.02	0.02	0.06
YoY Growth	-	-	-11.07%	200.00%	-60.00%	-16.67%	105.95%	155.25%	162.49%	20.61%	-67.69%	0.55%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.51%	2.59%	0.85%	3.75%	4.98%	2.40%	0.79%	0.32%	0.23%	0.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	3,074.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	429.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,644.25

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	614.81	384.26	230.56
Cash Retained (M)	2,644.25	2,644.25	2,644.25
(-) Cash Required (M)	-614.81	-384.26	-230.56
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2,029.43	2,259.99	2,413.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	3,241.91	3,241.91	3,241.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.63	0.70	0.74
LTM Dividend per Share	0.13	0.13	0.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.63	0.70	0.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.76	0.83	0.88
WACC / Discount Rate	9.80%	9.80%	9.80%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$18.61	$26.77	$40.98
Upside / Downside	20.44%	73.27%	165.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	3,074.07	3,273.88	3,486.68	3,713.32	3,954.68	4,211.74	4,338.09
Payout Ratio	13.98%	29.19%	44.39%	59.59%	74.80%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	429.82	955.51	1,547.72	2,212.87	2,957.96	3,790.57	4,012.73

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.80%	9.80%	9.80%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	862.05	870.22	878.39
Year 2 PV (M)	1,259.75	1,283.75	1,307.97
Year 3 PV (M)	1,624.98	1,671.63	1,719.16
Year 4 PV (M)	1,959.66	2,035.03	2,112.54
Year 5 PV (M)	2,265.64	2,375.07	2,488.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)	35,266.75	36,970.15	38,738.74
Equity Value (M)	43,238.84	45,205.84	47,245.49
Shares Outstanding (M)	3,241.91	3,241.91	3,241.91
Fair Value	$13.34	$13.94	$14.57
Upside / Downside	-13.67%	-9.75%	-5.67%

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Jinduicheng Molybdenum Co., Ltd. (601958.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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