DDM Analysis: 601001.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$16.29 - $29.20	$21.71
Multi-Stage	$15.20 - $16.64	$15.90
Blended Fair Value	$18.81
Current Price	$13.76
Upside	36.67%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	17.20%	4.66%	0.88	0.62	0.62	0.26	0.27	0.40	0.37	0.31	0.37	0.25
YoY Growth	-	-	41.71%	0.38%	135.13%	-1.76%	-32.70%	8.19%	19.31%	-17.22%	50.61%	-55.67%
Dividend Yield	-	-	7.43%	4.06%	5.55%	1.68%	5.33%	11.35%	7.23%	5.82%	6.08%	5.12%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,933.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	78.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)	1,855.33

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	386.75	241.72	145.03
Cash Retained (M)	1,855.33	1,855.33	1,855.33
(-) Cash Required (M)	-386.75	-241.72	-145.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)	1,468.58	1,613.61	1,710.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,686.08	1,686.08	1,686.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.87	0.96	1.01
LTM Dividend per Share	0.05	0.05	0.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.87	0.96	1.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.92	1.00	1.06
WACC / Discount Rate	9.61%	9.61%	9.61%
Growth Rate	3.77%	4.77%	5.77%
Fair Value	$16.29	$21.71	$29.20
Upside / Downside	18.42%	57.77%	112.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,933.77	2,025.93	2,122.48	2,223.64	2,329.61	2,440.64	2,513.86
Payout Ratio	4.06%	21.24%	38.43%	55.62%	72.81%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	78.43	430.40	815.75	1,236.84	1,696.22	2,196.58	2,325.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.61%	9.61%	9.61%
Growth Rate	3.77%	4.77%	5.77%
Year 1 PV (M)	388.92	392.67	396.42
Year 2 PV (M)	666.09	678.99	692.01
Year 3 PV (M)	912.60	939.24	966.39
Year 4 PV (M)	1,130.94	1,175.17	1,220.68
Year 5 PV (M)	1,323.40	1,388.41	1,455.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)	21,198.45	22,239.78	23,321.64
Equity Value (M)	25,620.40	26,814.27	28,053.11
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,686.08	1,686.08	1,686.08
Fair Value	$15.20	$15.90	$16.64
Upside / Downside	10.43%	15.58%	20.92%

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Jinneng Holding Shanxi Coal Industry Co.,ltd. (601001.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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