DDM Analysis: 600278.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$4.82 - $11.20	$7.06
Multi-Stage	$3.41 - $3.72	$3.56
Blended Fair Value	$5.31
Current Price	$7.42
Upside	-28.40%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	5.55%	12.77%	0.22	0.16	0.17	0.15	0.20	0.17	0.10	0.07	0.08	0.07
YoY Growth	-	-	38.27%	-8.21%	19.04%	-26.30%	17.65%	72.39%	41.32%	-9.18%	2.14%	12.36%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.41%	2.57%	2.39%	1.81%	2.37%	1.83%	0.58%	0.69%	0.53%	0.53%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	208.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	35.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)	172.44

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	41.68	26.05	15.63
Cash Retained (M)	172.44	172.44	172.44
(-) Cash Required (M)	-41.68	-26.05	-15.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)	130.76	146.39	156.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	899.70	899.70	899.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.15	0.16	0.17
LTM Dividend per Share	0.04	0.04	0.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.15	0.16	0.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.19	0.20	0.21
WACC / Discount Rate	9.56%	9.56%	9.56%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$4.82	$7.06	$11.20
Upside / Downside	-35.04%	-4.80%	51.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	208.38	221.93	236.35	251.71	268.08	285.50	294.06
Payout Ratio	17.25%	31.80%	46.35%	60.90%	75.45%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	35.94	70.57	109.55	153.29	202.26	256.95	272.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.56%	9.56%	9.56%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	63.81	64.41	65.02
Year 2 PV (M)	89.56	91.27	92.99
Year 3 PV (M)	113.32	116.58	119.89
Year 4 PV (M)	135.20	140.40	145.75
Year 5 PV (M)	155.31	162.81	170.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,507.95	2,629.09	2,754.86
Equity Value (M)	3,065.16	3,204.56	3,349.11
Shares Outstanding (M)	899.70	899.70	899.70
Fair Value	$3.41	$3.56	$3.72
Upside / Downside	-54.09%	-52.00%	-49.83%

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Orient International Enterprise, Ltd. (600278.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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