DDM Analysis: 600258.SS

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$81.81 - $149.22	$139.84
Multi-Stage	$24.12 - $26.38	$25.23
Blended Fair Value	$82.54
Current Price	$14.68
Upside	462.23%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	21.19%	21.84%	0.56	0.38	0.39	0.46	0.16	0.21	0.21	0.23	0.30	0.13
YoY Growth	-	-	48.33%	-4.68%	-14.43%	195.12%	-26.78%	2.07%	-7.69%	-24.19%	126.33%	70.60%
Dividend Yield	-	-	4.19%	2.49%	1.69%	2.01%	0.57%	1.59%	0.88%	0.94%	1.61%	0.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	837.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	621.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)	215.95

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	167.56	104.73	62.84
Cash Retained (M)	215.95	215.95	215.95
(-) Cash Required (M)	-167.56	-104.73	-62.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)	48.38	111.22	153.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,116.60	1,116.60	1,116.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.04	0.10	0.14
LTM Dividend per Share	0.56	0.56	0.56
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.04	0.10	0.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.60	0.66	0.69
WACC / Discount Rate	6.27%	6.27%	6.27%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$81.81	$139.84	$149.22
Upside / Downside	457.27%	852.61%	916.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	837.82	892.28	950.28	1,012.05	1,077.83	1,147.89	1,182.33
Payout Ratio	74.23%	77.38%	80.54%	83.69%	86.85%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	621.88	690.45	765.31	846.99	936.05	1,033.10	1,093.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.27%	6.27%	6.27%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	643.59	649.69	655.79
Year 2 PV (M)	664.95	677.62	690.40
Year 3 PV (M)	685.97	705.66	725.72
Year 4 PV (M)	706.64	733.82	761.77
Year 5 PV (M)	726.98	762.09	798.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)	23,505.20	24,640.51	25,819.27
Equity Value (M)	26,933.32	28,169.37	29,451.49
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,116.60	1,116.60	1,116.60
Fair Value	$24.12	$25.23	$26.38
Upside / Downside	64.31%	71.85%	79.67%

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BTG Hotels (Group) Co., Ltd. (600258.SS)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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