Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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DKSH Holdings (Malaysia) Berhad (5908.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Food DistributionSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.05 - $41.43$26.35
Multi-Stage$23.72 - $26.05$24.86
Blended Fair Value$25.60
Current Price$4.86
Upside426.85%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.20%-2.76%0.170.320.110.100.000.100.100.100.100.10
YoY Growth---46.87%190.91%10.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%5.26%0.00%0.00%-57.78%
Dividend Yield--3.43%6.78%2.34%2.05%0.00%5.08%4.27%2.47%2.03%2.38%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)143.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)29.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)113.19
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.6317.8910.74
Cash Retained (M)113.19113.19113.19
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.63-17.89-10.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)84.5695.29102.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)157.66157.66157.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.540.600.65
LTM Dividend per Share0.190.190.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.540.600.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.730.790.84
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate2.23%3.23%4.23%
Fair Value$18.05$26.35$41.43
Upside / Downside271.50%442.12%752.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)143.14147.77152.54157.47162.55167.80172.84
Payout Ratio20.93%34.74%48.56%62.37%76.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)29.9651.3474.0798.21123.84151.02159.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate2.23%3.23%4.23%
Year 1 PV (M)47.8148.2748.74
Year 2 PV (M)64.2365.4966.77
Year 3 PV (M)79.3281.6784.06
Year 4 PV (M)93.1496.83100.64
Year 5 PV (M)105.77111.05116.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,349.493,516.553,690.21
Equity Value (M)3,739.763,919.874,106.96
Shares Outstanding (M)157.66157.66157.66
Fair Value$23.72$24.86$26.05
Upside / Downside388.08%411.59%436.00%

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