DDM Analysis: 5851.T

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$6,809.29 - $39,876.32	$12,584.43
Multi-Stage	$5,802.41 - $6,358.85	$6,075.44
Blended Fair Value	$9,329.93
Current Price	$2,145.00
Upside	334.96%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2018	2017	2016
DPS	4.53%	8.13%	87.34	59.97	30.06	10.13	35.07	69.98	69.82	49.99	49.99	39.98
YoY Growth	-	-	45.65%	99.49%	196.65%	-71.10%	-49.89%	0.22%	39.68%	0.00%	25.04%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.90%	2.08%	1.95%	0.95%	2.11%	5.27%	2.71%	1.37%	2.19%	1.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	6,590.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	2,747.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	3,843.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	1,318.00	823.75	494.25
Cash Retained (M)	3,843.00	3,843.00	3,843.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-1,318.00	-823.75	-494.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2,525.00	3,019.25	3,348.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	32.37	32.37	32.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share	78.01	93.28	103.46
LTM Dividend per Share	84.87	84.87	84.87
(+) Excess Retained per Share	78.01	93.28	103.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend	162.88	178.15	188.32
WACC / Discount Rate	6.36%	6.36%	6.36%
Growth Rate	3.87%	4.87%	5.87%
Fair Value	$6,809.29	$12,584.43	$39,876.32
Upside / Downside	217.45%	486.69%	1,759.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	6,590.00	6,911.00	7,247.65	7,600.68	7,970.92	8,359.19	8,609.97
Payout Ratio	41.68%	51.35%	61.01%	70.67%	80.34%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	2,747.00	3,548.63	4,421.83	5,371.69	6,403.59	7,523.27	7,964.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.36%	6.36%	6.36%
Growth Rate	3.87%	4.87%	5.87%
Year 1 PV (M)	3,304.75	3,336.57	3,368.38
Year 2 PV (M)	3,834.95	3,909.14	3,984.05
Year 3 PV (M)	4,338.56	4,465.08	4,594.03
Year 4 PV (M)	4,816.56	5,004.74	5,198.38
Year 5 PV (M)	5,269.85	5,528.46	5,797.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)	166,249.34	174,407.59	182,883.03
Equity Value (M)	187,814.01	196,651.58	205,824.98
Shares Outstanding (M)	32.37	32.37	32.37
Fair Value	$5,802.41	$6,075.44	$6,358.85
Upside / Downside	170.51%	183.24%	196.45%

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Ryobi Limited (5851.T)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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