DDM Analysis: 300100.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$36.51 - $121.46	$59.54
Multi-Stage	$23.45 - $25.65	$24.53
Blended Fair Value	$42.04
Current Price	$44.47
Upside	-5.47%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	44.49%	8.44%	0.19	0.00	0.71	0.20	0.22	0.03	0.15	0.02	0.10	0.13
YoY Growth	-	-	4,585.33%	-99.42%	255.86%	-10.38%	631.57%	-80.00%	655.30%	-79.89%	-22.67%	52.05%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.44%	0.06%	12.48%	3.58%	3.64%	0.87%	1.95%	0.14%	0.54%	0.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	532.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	97.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)	435.11

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	106.56	66.60	39.96
Cash Retained (M)	435.11	435.11	435.11
(-) Cash Required (M)	-106.56	-66.60	-39.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)	328.55	368.51	395.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	397.69	397.69	397.69
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.83	0.93	0.99
LTM Dividend per Share	0.25	0.25	0.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.83	0.93	0.99
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.07	1.17	1.24
WACC / Discount Rate	8.60%	8.60%	8.60%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$36.51	$59.54	$121.46
Upside / Downside	-17.89%	33.89%	173.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	532.81	567.44	604.33	643.61	685.44	730.00	751.90
Payout Ratio	18.34%	32.67%	47.00%	61.33%	75.67%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	97.70	185.38	284.05	394.76	518.66	657.00	695.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	8.60%	8.60%	8.60%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	169.10	170.71	172.31
Year 2 PV (M)	236.35	240.86	245.40
Year 3 PV (M)	299.63	308.23	317.00
Year 4 PV (M)	359.11	372.92	387.12
Year 5 PV (M)	414.95	434.99	455.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)	7,848.51	8,227.59	8,621.19
Equity Value (M)	9,327.65	9,755.29	10,198.81
Shares Outstanding (M)	397.69	397.69	397.69
Fair Value	$23.45	$24.53	$25.65
Upside / Downside	-47.26%	-44.84%	-42.33%

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Ningbo Shuanglin Auto Parts Co.,Ltd. (300100.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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