DDM Analysis: 2858.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$18.72 - $48.42	$45.37
Multi-Stage	$6.96 - $7.62	$7.29
Blended Fair Value	$26.33
Current Price	$2.13
Upside	1,136.10%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-7.44%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.14%	5.22%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.28%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,647.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	721.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)	925.86

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	329.44	205.90	123.54
Cash Retained (M)	925.86	925.86	925.86
(-) Cash Required (M)	-329.44	-205.90	-123.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)	596.43	719.97	802.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	6,766.11	6,766.11	6,766.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.09	0.11	0.12
LTM Dividend per Share	0.11	0.11	0.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.09	0.11	0.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.19	0.21	0.23
WACC / Discount Rate	6.60%	6.60%	6.60%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$18.72	$45.37	$48.42
Upside / Downside	778.87%	2,030.15%	2,173.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,647.18	1,754.25	1,868.27	1,989.71	2,119.04	2,256.78	2,324.48
Payout Ratio	43.79%	53.03%	62.27%	71.52%	80.76%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	721.32	930.33	1,163.46	1,422.97	1,711.30	2,031.10	2,150.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.60%	6.60%	6.60%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	864.55	872.75	880.94
Year 2 PV (M)	1,004.76	1,023.90	1,043.22
Year 3 PV (M)	1,141.99	1,174.77	1,208.17
Year 4 PV (M)	1,276.29	1,325.37	1,375.85
Year 5 PV (M)	1,407.70	1,475.69	1,546.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)	41,422.30	43,423.02	45,500.30
Equity Value (M)	47,117.58	49,295.48	51,554.76
Shares Outstanding (M)	6,766.11	6,766.11	6,766.11
Fair Value	$6.96	$7.29	$7.62
Upside / Downside	226.94%	242.05%	257.73%

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Yixin Group Limited (2858.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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