DDM Analysis: 2442.TW

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$4.12 - $5.65	$4.89
Multi-Stage	$14.86 - $16.50	$15.66
Blended Fair Value	$10.28
Current Price	$23.97
Upside	-57.12%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-25.30%	12.48%	0.10	0.05	0.18	0.09	0.04	0.45	0.00	0.01	0.03	0.02
YoY Growth	-	-	122.57%	-74.11%	103.81%	111.54%	-90.64%	0.00%	-100.00%	-77.60%	62.80%	-36.74%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.42%	0.18%	1.22%	0.71%	0.44%	7.17%	0.00%	0.10%	0.50%	0.37%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	220.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	28.19
(=) Cash Retained (M)	192.17

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	44.07	27.54	16.53
Cash Retained (M)	192.17	192.17	192.17
(-) Cash Required (M)	-44.07	-27.54	-16.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)	148.10	164.62	175.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	272.13	272.13	272.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.54	0.60	0.65
LTM Dividend per Share	0.10	0.10	0.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.54	0.60	0.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.65	0.71	0.75
WACC / Discount Rate	5.77%	5.77%	5.77%
Growth Rate	-8.61%	-7.61%	-6.61%
Fair Value	$4.12	$4.89	$5.65
Upside / Downside	-82.83%	-79.59%	-76.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	220.36	203.59	188.09	173.77	160.54	148.32	152.77
Payout Ratio	12.79%	28.23%	43.68%	59.12%	74.56%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	28.19	57.48	82.15	102.73	119.70	133.49	141.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	5.77%	5.77%	5.77%
Growth Rate	-8.61%	-7.61%	-6.61%
Year 1 PV (M)	53.76	54.35	54.93
Year 2 PV (M)	71.85	73.43	75.03
Year 3 PV (M)	84.03	86.81	89.66
Year 4 PV (M)	91.56	95.64	99.84
Year 5 PV (M)	95.50	100.84	106.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)	3,647.66	3,851.64	4,064.65
Equity Value (M)	4,044.34	4,262.70	4,490.53
Shares Outstanding (M)	272.13	272.13	272.13
Fair Value	$14.86	$15.66	$16.50
Upside / Downside	-38.00%	-34.65%	-31.16%

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Jean Co.,Ltd (2442.TW)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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