DDM Analysis: 1527.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$8.96 - $13.66	$11.16
Multi-Stage	$18.36 - $20.24	$19.28
Blended Fair Value	$15.22
Current Price	$1.29
Upside	1,080.02%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	0.00%	0.00%	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.02
YoY Growth	-	-	-100.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-100.00%	-93.62%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.00%	6.49%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.36%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	136.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	6.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)	129.57

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	27.26	17.04	10.22
Cash Retained (M)	129.57	129.57	129.57
(-) Cash Required (M)	-27.26	-17.04	-10.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)	102.30	112.53	119.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	135.00	135.00	135.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.76	0.83	0.88
LTM Dividend per Share	0.05	0.05	0.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.76	0.83	0.88
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.81	0.88	0.93
WACC / Discount Rate	6.84%	6.84%	6.84%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$8.96	$11.16	$13.66
Upside / Downside	594.39%	765.13%	958.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	136.32	134.95	133.60	132.27	130.95	129.64	133.53
Payout Ratio	4.95%	21.96%	38.97%	55.98%	72.99%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	6.75	29.64	52.07	74.04	95.58	116.67	123.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.84%	6.84%	6.84%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	27.46	27.74	28.02
Year 2 PV (M)	44.70	45.62	46.54
Year 3 PV (M)	58.90	60.72	62.58
Year 4 PV (M)	70.44	73.36	76.37
Year 5 PV (M)	79.67	83.82	88.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,197.69	2,312.13	2,431.28
Equity Value (M)	2,478.86	2,603.38	2,732.93
Shares Outstanding (M)	135.00	135.00	135.00
Fair Value	$18.36	$19.28	$20.24
Upside / Downside	1,323.40%	1,394.91%	1,469.30%

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Zhejiang Tengy Environmental Technology Co., Ltd (1527.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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