DDM Analysis: 0564.HK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$406.47 - $478.90	$448.80
Multi-Stage	$330.53 - $362.82	$346.37
Blended Fair Value	$397.58
Current Price	$13.56
Upside	2,832.03%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	36.99%	20.50%	0.98	0.76	0.58	0.57	0.28	0.20	0.11	0.03	0.01	0.04
YoY Growth	-	-	28.03%	31.95%	1.75%	103.47%	37.96%	79.89%	268.12%	319.08%	-80.02%	-75.88%
Dividend Yield	-	-	7.94%	7.85%	8.34%	8.07%	3.02%	7.63%	3.45%	0.90%	0.16%	1.32%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	4,287.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	454.71
(=) Cash Retained (M)	3,832.80

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	857.50	535.94	321.56
Cash Retained (M)	3,832.80	3,832.80	3,832.80
(-) Cash Required (M)	-857.50	-535.94	-321.56
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2,975.30	3,296.86	3,511.24
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,780.51	1,780.51	1,780.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share	1.67	1.85	1.97
LTM Dividend per Share	0.26	0.26	0.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share	1.67	1.85	1.97
(=) Adjusted Dividend	1.93	2.11	2.23
WACC / Discount Rate	-1.39%	-1.39%	-1.39%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$406.47	$448.80	$478.90
Upside / Downside	2,897.60%	3,209.70%	3,431.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	4,287.51	4,566.19	4,863.00	5,179.09	5,515.73	5,874.25	6,050.48
Payout Ratio	10.61%	26.48%	42.36%	58.24%	74.12%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	454.71	1,209.33	2,060.12	3,016.41	4,088.32	5,286.83	5,596.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	-1.39%	-1.39%	-1.39%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	1,214.85	1,226.37	1,237.88
Year 2 PV (M)	2,079.00	2,118.60	2,158.57
Year 3 PV (M)	3,057.97	3,145.75	3,235.20
Year 4 PV (M)	4,163.59	4,323.71	4,488.40
Year 5 PV (M)	5,408.77	5,670.02	5,941.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)	572,578.88	600,234.66	628,948.88
Equity Value (M)	588,503.07	616,719.11	646,010.21
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,780.51	1,780.51	1,780.51
Fair Value	$330.53	$346.37	$362.82
Upside / Downside	2,337.50%	2,454.37%	2,575.69%

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ZCZL Industrial Technology Group Company Limited Class H (0564.HK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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