Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Hyundai Bng Steel Co., Ltd. (004560.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SteelSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8,337.90 - $13,343.04$10,605.67
Multi-Stage$15,959.36 - $17,572.76$16,750.29
Blended Fair Value$13,677.98
Current Price$11,880.00
Upside15.13%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.00100.29100.29100.29100.29100.29100.29100.290.00100.29
YoY Growth---100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.48%0.90%0.58%0.57%1.64%0.94%0.89%0.00%0.94%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12,159.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,524.36
(=) Cash Retained (M)10,634.99
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,431.871,519.92911.95
Cash Retained (M)10,634.9910,634.9910,634.99
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,431.87-1,519.92-911.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)8,203.129,115.079,723.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15.2015.2015.20
(=) Excess Retained per Share539.67599.67639.66
LTM Dividend per Share100.29100.29100.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share539.67599.67639.66
(=) Adjusted Dividend639.96699.95739.95
WACC / Discount Rate6.73%6.73%6.73%
Growth Rate-0.88%0.12%1.12%
Fair Value$8,337.90$10,605.67$13,343.04
Upside / Downside-29.82%-10.73%12.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12,159.3512,173.7612,188.1912,202.6412,217.1012,231.5912,598.53
Payout Ratio12.54%28.03%43.52%59.01%74.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,524.363,412.215,304.537,201.349,102.6311,008.4311,653.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.73%6.73%6.73%
Growth Rate-0.88%0.12%1.12%
Year 1 PV (M)3,165.233,197.163,229.10
Year 2 PV (M)4,564.434,656.994,750.49
Year 3 PV (M)5,748.075,923.816,103.09
Year 4 PV (M)6,739.787,015.917,300.44
Year 5 PV (M)7,560.897,950.078,355.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)214,807.83225,864.60237,372.05
Equity Value (M)242,586.23254,608.55267,110.28
Shares Outstanding (M)15.2015.2015.20
Fair Value$15,959.36$16,750.29$17,572.76
Upside / Downside34.34%41.00%47.92%

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