DDM Analysis: 002361.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.44 - $0.73	$0.56
Multi-Stage	$0.65 - $0.71	$0.68
Blended Fair Value	$0.62
Current Price	$6.13
Upside	-89.85%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	1.69%	10.47%	0.15	0.14	0.14	0.13	0.12	0.13	0.07	0.06	0.06	0.02
YoY Growth	-	-	5.59%	-3.52%	8.18%	8.63%	-9.16%	81.54%	21.50%	5.31%	191.16%	-63.20%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.20%	3.74%	3.43%	2.92%	2.65%	3.30%	1.55%	1.19%	0.66%	0.31%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	34.76
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	27.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)	6.78

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	6.95	4.35	2.61
Cash Retained (M)	6.78	6.78	6.78
(-) Cash Required (M)	-6.95	-4.35	-2.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-0.17	2.43	4.17
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	949.95	949.95	949.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.00	0.00
LTM Dividend per Share	0.03	0.03	0.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.00	0.00	0.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.03	0.03	0.03
WACC / Discount Rate	7.85%	7.85%	7.85%
Growth Rate	1.07%	2.07%	3.07%
Fair Value	$0.44	$0.56	$0.73
Upside / Downside	-92.89%	-90.79%	-88.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	34.76	35.48	36.22	36.96	37.73	38.51	39.66
Payout Ratio	80.50%	82.40%	84.30%	86.20%	88.10%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	27.98	29.24	30.53	31.86	33.24	34.66	36.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.85%	7.85%	7.85%
Growth Rate	1.07%	2.07%	3.07%
Year 1 PV (M)	26.84	27.11	27.37
Year 2 PV (M)	25.73	26.25	26.76
Year 3 PV (M)	24.66	25.40	26.15
Year 4 PV (M)	23.62	24.56	25.54
Year 5 PV (M)	22.61	23.75	24.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)	493.07	517.95	543.83
Equity Value (M)	616.53	645.02	674.59
Shares Outstanding (M)	949.95	949.95	949.95
Fair Value	$0.65	$0.68	$0.71
Upside / Downside	-89.41%	-88.92%	-88.42%

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Anhui Shenjian New Materials Co.,Ltd (002361.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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