DDM Analysis: 002217.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$1.43 - $1.88	$1.67
Multi-Stage	$2.59 - $2.87	$2.72
Blended Fair Value	$2.19
Current Price	$3.32
Upside	-33.89%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-36.04%	2.66%	0.01	0.03	0.05	0.07	0.08	0.06	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.02
YoY Growth	-	-	-76.70%	-45.14%	-29.07%	-19.75%	47.20%	2.73%	44.96%	122.49%	-4.18%	282.50%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.27%	1.33%	1.51%	2.02%	2.47%	1.01%	0.76%	0.40%	0.18%	0.29%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	2,766.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	83.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)	2,683.77

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	553.39	345.87	207.52
Cash Retained (M)	2,683.77	2,683.77	2,683.77
(-) Cash Required (M)	-553.39	-345.87	-207.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)	2,130.37	2,337.90	2,476.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	7,040.10	7,040.10	7,040.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.30	0.33	0.35
LTM Dividend per Share	0.01	0.01	0.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.30	0.33	0.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.31	0.34	0.36
WACC / Discount Rate	9.79%	9.79%	9.79%
Growth Rate	-10.00%	-9.00%	-8.00%
Fair Value	$1.43	$1.67	$1.88
Upside / Downside	-56.92%	-49.82%	-43.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	2,766.96	2,517.99	2,291.42	2,085.24	1,897.61	1,726.86	1,778.66
Payout Ratio	3.01%	20.41%	37.80%	55.20%	72.60%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	83.20	513.81	866.25	1,151.11	1,377.69	1,554.17	1,645.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.79%	9.79%	9.79%
Growth Rate	-10.00%	-9.00%	-8.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	462.86	468.00	473.14
Year 2 PV (M)	702.98	718.68	734.57
Year 3 PV (M)	841.52	869.88	898.87
Year 4 PV (M)	907.29	948.29	990.66
Year 5 PV (M)	922.03	974.40	1,029.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)	14,380.53	15,197.39	16,050.94
Equity Value (M)	18,217.20	19,176.64	20,177.32
Shares Outstanding (M)	7,040.10	7,040.10	7,040.10
Fair Value	$2.59	$2.72	$2.87
Upside / Downside	-22.06%	-17.95%	-13.67%

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Holitech Technology Co., Ltd. (002217.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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