DDM Analysis: 002171.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$8.43 - $21.40	$12.72
Multi-Stage	$5.98 - $6.52	$6.25
Blended Fair Value	$9.48
Current Price	$9.67
Upside	-1.94%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	45.86%	25.90%	0.31	0.22	0.29	0.16	0.14	0.05	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.04
YoY Growth	-	-	37.70%	-24.40%	83.59%	17.13%	194.91%	-52.86%	15.22%	316.85%	-44.60%	20.85%
Dividend Yield	-	-	3.50%	2.71%	3.94%	1.72%	1.93%	0.62%	1.44%	1.26%	0.26%	0.47%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	568.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	242.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)	326.62

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	113.76	71.10	42.66
Cash Retained (M)	326.62	326.62	326.62
(-) Cash Required (M)	-113.76	-71.10	-42.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)	212.86	255.52	283.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,524.14	1,524.14	1,524.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.14	0.17	0.19
LTM Dividend per Share	0.16	0.16	0.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.14	0.17	0.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.30	0.33	0.35
WACC / Discount Rate	9.23%	9.23%	9.23%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$8.43	$12.72	$21.40
Upside / Downside	-12.77%	31.53%	121.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	568.80	605.78	645.15	687.09	731.75	779.31	802.69
Payout Ratio	42.58%	52.06%	61.55%	71.03%	80.52%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	242.18	315.38	397.07	488.04	589.17	701.38	742.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.23%	9.23%	9.23%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	286.01	288.72	291.43
Year 2 PV (M)	326.55	332.77	339.05
Year 3 PV (M)	363.99	374.44	385.09
Year 4 PV (M)	398.49	413.81	429.58
Year 5 PV (M)	430.20	450.98	472.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)	7,305.05	7,657.89	8,024.23
Equity Value (M)	9,110.29	9,518.61	9,941.93
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,524.14	1,524.14	1,524.14
Fair Value	$5.98	$6.25	$6.52
Upside / Downside	-38.19%	-35.42%	-32.54%

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Anhui Truchum Advanced Materials and Technology Co., Ltd. (002171.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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