DDM Analysis: 001211.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$2.63 - $3.94	$3.25
Multi-Stage	$5.22 - $5.73	$5.47
Blended Fair Value	$4.36
Current Price	$26.48
Upside	-83.54%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
DPS	-6.45%	0.00%	0.24	0.29	0.60	0.60	0.14	0.33	0.14	0.14	0.00	0.00
YoY Growth	-	-	-16.24%	-52.42%	-0.05%	330.83%	-58.25%	145.30%	-0.67%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.13%	1.59%	2.69%	2.21%	0.37%	0.88%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	22.71
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	13.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)	8.95

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	4.54	2.84	1.70
Cash Retained (M)	8.95	8.95	8.95
(-) Cash Required (M)	-4.54	-2.84	-1.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)	4.41	6.11	7.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	71.58	71.58	71.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.06	0.09	0.10
LTM Dividend per Share	0.19	0.19	0.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.06	0.09	0.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.25	0.28	0.29
WACC / Discount Rate	7.46%	7.46%	7.46%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$2.63	$3.25	$3.94
Upside / Downside	-90.07%	-87.73%	-85.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	22.71	22.48	22.26	22.03	21.81	21.60	22.24
Payout Ratio	60.59%	66.47%	72.35%	78.24%	84.12%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	13.76	14.94	16.10	17.24	18.35	19.44	20.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	7.46%	7.46%	7.46%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	13.77	13.91	14.05
Year 2 PV (M)	13.67	13.95	14.23
Year 3 PV (M)	13.48	13.89	14.32
Year 4 PV (M)	13.21	13.76	14.33
Year 5 PV (M)	12.89	13.57	14.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)	306.37	322.32	338.93
Equity Value (M)	373.38	391.39	410.12
Shares Outstanding (M)	71.58	71.58	71.58
Fair Value	$5.22	$5.47	$5.73
Upside / Downside	-80.30%	-79.35%	-78.36%

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Suncha Technology Co., Ltd. (001211.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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