DDM Analysis: 000830.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$20.03 - $63.06	$32.19
Multi-Stage	$20.89 - $22.89	$21.87
Blended Fair Value	$27.03
Current Price	$14.52
Upside	86.14%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-16.19%	-0.21%	0.31	0.88	2.19	0.75	0.76	0.74	0.64	0.36	0.35	0.55
YoY Growth	-	-	-65.00%	-60.01%	191.45%	-0.93%	2.32%	15.13%	81.00%	1.13%	-35.55%	74.37%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.54%	8.87%	16.06%	4.20%	4.89%	9.09%	4.06%	2.03%	6.26%	9.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,477.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	844.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)	632.57

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	295.43	184.64	110.79
Cash Retained (M)	632.57	632.57	632.57
(-) Cash Required (M)	-295.43	-184.64	-110.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)	337.14	447.93	521.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,906.40	1,906.40	1,906.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.18	0.23	0.27
LTM Dividend per Share	0.44	0.44	0.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.18	0.23	0.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.62	0.68	0.72
WACC / Discount Rate	6.49%	6.49%	6.49%
Growth Rate	3.29%	4.29%	5.29%
Fair Value	$20.03	$32.19	$63.06
Upside / Downside	37.93%	121.67%	334.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,477.14	1,540.50	1,606.58	1,675.49	1,747.36	1,822.31	1,876.97
Payout Ratio	57.18%	63.74%	70.31%	76.87%	83.44%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	844.57	981.93	1,129.51	1,287.96	1,457.91	1,640.08	1,736.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.49%	6.49%	6.49%
Growth Rate	3.29%	4.29%	5.29%
Year 1 PV (M)	913.28	922.12	930.96
Year 2 PV (M)	977.10	996.11	1,015.30
Year 3 PV (M)	1,036.26	1,066.65	1,097.63
Year 4 PV (M)	1,090.99	1,133.86	1,177.98
Year 5 PV (M)	1,141.50	1,197.84	1,256.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)	34,663.75	36,374.56	38,152.25
Equity Value (M)	39,822.88	41,691.13	43,630.50
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,906.40	1,906.40	1,906.40
Fair Value	$20.89	$21.87	$22.89
Upside / Downside	43.86%	50.61%	57.62%

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Luxi Chemical Group Co., Ltd. (000830.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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