DDM Analysis: 000811.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$11.58 - $23.16	$16.09
Multi-Stage	$8.88 - $9.68	$9.27
Blended Fair Value	$12.68
Current Price	$13.50
Upside	-6.07%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	11.67%	1.47%	0.12	0.21	0.22	0.10	0.10	0.07	0.10	0.07	0.07	0.10
YoY Growth	-	-	-42.35%	-2.54%	120.98%	1.47%	37.82%	-33.29%	51.49%	-5.90%	-29.04%	-1.28%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.28%	2.28%	2.18%	1.14%	1.67%	1.46%	1.40%	1.26%	0.84%	1.69%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	582.21
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	215.44
(=) Cash Retained (M)	366.77

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	116.44	72.78	43.67
Cash Retained (M)	366.77	366.77	366.77
(-) Cash Required (M)	-116.44	-72.78	-43.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)	250.33	293.99	323.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	871.82	871.82	871.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.29	0.34	0.37
LTM Dividend per Share	0.25	0.25	0.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.29	0.34	0.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.53	0.58	0.62
WACC / Discount Rate	10.37%	10.37%	10.37%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$11.58	$16.09	$23.16
Upside / Downside	-14.22%	19.20%	71.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	582.21	620.06	660.36	703.28	749.00	797.68	821.61
Payout Ratio	37.00%	47.60%	58.20%	68.80%	79.40%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	215.44	295.17	384.35	483.87	594.71	717.91	759.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	10.37%	10.37%	10.37%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	264.93	267.44	269.95
Year 2 PV (M)	309.63	315.53	321.48
Year 3 PV (M)	349.88	359.92	370.16
Year 4 PV (M)	385.97	400.81	416.08
Year 5 PV (M)	418.20	438.40	459.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)	6,009.14	6,299.39	6,600.74
Equity Value (M)	7,737.75	8,081.49	8,437.78
Shares Outstanding (M)	871.82	871.82	871.82
Fair Value	$8.88	$9.27	$9.68
Upside / Downside	-34.26%	-31.34%	-28.31%

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Moon Environment Technology Co.,Ltd. (000811.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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