DDM Analysis: 000528.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$39.76 - $129.56	$121.42
Multi-Stage	$17.30 - $18.92	$18.10
Blended Fair Value	$69.76
Current Price	$11.06
Upside	530.73%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	12.87%	2.61%	0.31	0.21	0.22	0.29	0.20	0.17	0.16	0.16	0.16	0.18
YoY Growth	-	-	48.50%	-2.92%	-24.27%	42.95%	17.40%	4.90%	2.59%	-2.82%	-10.93%	-24.20%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.80%	2.45%	3.20%	4.41%	2.03%	2.73%	2.03%	2.32%	2.39%	3.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	1,464.01
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	746.58
(=) Cash Retained (M)	717.43

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	292.80	183.00	109.80
Cash Retained (M)	717.43	717.43	717.43
(-) Cash Required (M)	-292.80	-183.00	-109.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)	424.62	534.42	607.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	2,247.17	2,247.17	2,247.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.19	0.24	0.27
LTM Dividend per Share	0.33	0.33	0.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.19	0.24	0.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.52	0.57	0.60
WACC / Discount Rate	6.88%	6.88%	6.88%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$39.76	$121.42	$129.56
Upside / Downside	259.50%	997.84%	1,071.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	1,464.01	1,559.17	1,660.51	1,768.45	1,883.40	2,005.82	2,065.99
Payout Ratio	51.00%	58.80%	66.60%	74.40%	82.20%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	746.58	916.74	1,105.86	1,315.69	1,548.14	1,805.23	1,911.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.88%	6.88%	6.88%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	849.65	857.70	865.76
Year 2 PV (M)	949.92	968.02	986.28
Year 3 PV (M)	1,047.46	1,077.53	1,108.17
Year 4 PV (M)	1,142.32	1,186.25	1,231.43
Year 5 PV (M)	1,234.54	1,294.17	1,356.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)	33,657.86	35,283.55	36,971.45
Equity Value (M)	38,881.76	40,667.22	42,519.18
Shares Outstanding (M)	2,247.17	2,247.17	2,247.17
Fair Value	$17.30	$18.10	$18.92
Upside / Downside	56.44%	63.63%	71.08%

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Guangxi Liugong Machinery Co., Ltd. (000528.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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