DDM Analysis: 000153.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$20.01 - $48.70	$45.64
Multi-Stage	$7.20 - $7.87	$7.53
Blended Fair Value	$26.58
Current Price	$6.46
Upside	311.49%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	6.90%	8.47%	0.16	0.07	0.07	0.06	0.08	0.11	0.07	0.07	0.07	0.07
YoY Growth	-	-	117.31%	6.40%	18.78%	-31.57%	-25.72%	63.26%	-7.94%	10.20%	-0.39%	-2.13%
Dividend Yield	-	-	2.52%	1.25%	0.99%	0.83%	1.62%	2.16%	1.35%	1.23%	0.54%	0.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	113.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	63.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)	50.30

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	22.76	14.23	8.54
Cash Retained (M)	50.30	50.30	50.30
(-) Cash Required (M)	-22.76	-14.23	-8.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)	27.54	36.08	41.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	464.80	464.80	464.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.06	0.08	0.09
LTM Dividend per Share	0.14	0.14	0.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.06	0.08	0.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.20	0.21	0.23
WACC / Discount Rate	6.53%	6.53%	6.53%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$20.01	$45.64	$48.70
Upside / Downside	209.76%	606.46%	653.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	113.82	121.21	129.09	137.48	146.42	155.94	160.62
Payout Ratio	55.80%	62.64%	69.48%	76.32%	83.16%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	63.51	75.93	89.70	104.93	121.76	140.34	148.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.53%	6.53%	6.53%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	70.61	71.28	71.94
Year 2 PV (M)	77.56	79.03	80.52
Year 3 PV (M)	84.36	86.79	89.25
Year 4 PV (M)	91.03	94.53	98.13
Year 5 PV (M)	97.56	102.28	107.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)	2,923.54	3,064.75	3,211.36
Equity Value (M)	3,344.66	3,498.65	3,658.39
Shares Outstanding (M)	464.80	464.80	464.80
Fair Value	$7.20	$7.53	$7.87
Upside / Downside	11.39%	16.52%	21.84%

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Anhui Fengyuan Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (000153.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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