Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

WiseTech Global Limited (WTC.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$39.13 - $99.26$59.01
Multi-Stage$27.02 - $29.53$28.25
Blended Fair Value$43.63
Current Price$109.03
Upside-59.98%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS42.01%41.29%0.190.160.120.080.040.030.030.020.010.01
YoY Growth--21.44%26.92%56.98%100.76%18.92%23.86%48.48%105.52%-22.97%88.58%
Dividend Yield--0.18%0.17%0.16%0.21%0.12%0.17%0.09%0.12%0.13%0.26%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)577.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)118.86
(=) Cash Retained (M)459.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)115.6072.2543.35
Cash Retained (M)459.13459.13459.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-115.60-72.25-43.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)343.53386.88415.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)333.80333.80333.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.031.161.25
LTM Dividend per Share0.360.360.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.031.161.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.391.521.60
WACC / Discount Rate9.23%9.23%9.23%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$39.13$59.01$99.26
Upside / Downside-64.11%-45.88%-8.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)577.99615.56655.57698.18743.56791.90815.65
Payout Ratio20.57%34.45%48.34%62.23%76.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)118.86212.07316.90434.45565.95712.71754.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.23%9.23%9.23%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)192.32194.14195.97
Year 2 PV (M)260.62265.58270.59
Year 3 PV (M)324.02333.32342.80
Year 4 PV (M)382.78397.50412.64
Year 5 PV (M)437.14458.26480.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,422.577,781.088,153.32
Equity Value (M)9,019.459,429.899,855.50
Shares Outstanding (M)333.80333.80333.80
Fair Value$27.02$28.25$29.53
Upside / Downside-75.22%-74.09%-72.92%

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