Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Wires and Fabriks (S.A.) Limited (WIREFABR.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - TextilesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$51.89 - $84.68$66.55
Multi-Stage$110.27 - $121.56$115.80
Blended Fair Value$91.18
Current Price$189.95
Upside-52.00%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-30.32%-24.47%0.130.170.170.170.160.770.760.742.142.09
YoY Growth---27.27%2.33%2.18%3.74%-79.18%1.55%2.14%-65.36%2.41%-0.08%
Dividend Yield--0.07%0.11%0.09%0.18%0.26%1.69%1.06%0.65%2.12%2.32%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)14.41
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.09
(=) Cash Retained (M)14.32
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.881.801.08
Cash Retained (M)14.3214.3214.32
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.88-1.80-1.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)11.4412.5213.24
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.043.043.04
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.764.114.35
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.764.114.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.784.144.38
WACC / Discount Rate6.16%6.16%6.16%
Growth Rate-1.06%-0.06%0.94%
Fair Value$51.89$66.55$84.68
Upside / Downside-72.68%-64.96%-55.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)14.4114.4014.3914.3814.3714.3614.80
Payout Ratio0.59%18.47%36.35%54.24%72.12%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.092.665.237.8010.3712.9313.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.16%6.16%6.16%
Growth Rate-1.06%-0.06%0.94%
Year 1 PV (M)2.482.512.53
Year 2 PV (M)4.554.644.73
Year 3 PV (M)6.336.526.72
Year 4 PV (M)7.848.168.49
Year 5 PV (M)9.129.5910.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)305.43321.18337.57
Equity Value (M)335.74352.60370.13
Shares Outstanding (M)3.043.043.04
Fair Value$110.27$115.80$121.56
Upside / Downside-41.95%-39.03%-36.00%

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