Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Viohalco S.A. (VIO.BR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Metal FabricationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$137.17 - $161.61$151.45
Multi-Stage$55.17 - $60.53$57.80
Blended Fair Value$104.63
Current Price$5.72
Upside1,729.14%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%23.11%0.110.110.080.030.010.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%33.33%199.99%200.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-75.54%
Dividend Yield--2.01%2.04%2.02%0.59%0.24%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)233.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)40.43
(=) Cash Retained (M)193.55
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)46.8029.2517.55
Cash Retained (M)193.55193.55193.55
(-) Cash Required (M)-46.80-29.25-17.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)146.75164.30176.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)287.94287.94287.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.510.570.61
LTM Dividend per Share0.140.140.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.510.570.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.650.710.75
WACC / Discount Rate4.54%4.54%4.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$137.17$151.45$161.61
Upside / Downside2,298.09%2,547.77%2,725.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)233.99249.20265.39282.64301.02320.58330.20
Payout Ratio17.28%31.82%46.37%60.91%75.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)40.4379.30123.06172.16227.13288.52305.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.54%4.54%4.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)75.1575.8676.57
Year 2 PV (M)110.50112.60114.73
Year 3 PV (M)146.49150.69154.98
Year 4 PV (M)183.13190.17197.42
Year 5 PV (M)220.43231.08242.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,150.8815,882.6716,642.47
Equity Value (M)15,886.5816,643.0817,428.30
Shares Outstanding (M)287.94287.94287.94
Fair Value$55.17$57.80$60.53
Upside / Downside864.57%910.50%958.18%

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