Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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TransUnion (TRU)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consulting ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$36.69 - $73.01$50.90
Multi-Stage$27.57 - $30.09$28.81
Blended Fair Value$39.85
Current Price$83.78
Upside-52.43%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.80%0.00%0.420.410.390.350.290.290.210.000.000.00
YoY Growth--1.10%5.14%11.46%21.18%1.41%36.54%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.51%0.52%0.63%0.34%0.32%0.44%0.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)420.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)89.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)331.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)84.1052.5631.54
Cash Retained (M)331.20331.20331.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-84.10-52.56-31.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)247.10278.64299.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)197.25197.25197.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.251.411.52
LTM Dividend per Share0.450.450.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.251.411.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.711.871.97
WACC / Discount Rate10.40%10.40%10.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$36.69$50.90$73.01
Upside / Downside-56.20%-39.25%-12.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)420.50447.83476.94507.94540.96576.12593.41
Payout Ratio21.24%34.99%48.74%62.49%76.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)89.30156.69232.47317.44412.47518.51548.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.40%10.40%10.40%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)140.60141.93143.26
Year 2 PV (M)187.16190.72194.32
Year 3 PV (M)229.31235.89242.60
Year 4 PV (M)267.35277.63288.20
Year 5 PV (M)301.55316.12331.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,311.934,520.204,736.44
Equity Value (M)5,437.895,682.495,936.06
Shares Outstanding (M)197.25197.25197.25
Fair Value$27.57$28.81$30.09
Upside / Downside-67.09%-65.61%-64.08%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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