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Definitive Analysis

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PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. (TOWR.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,850.48 - $13,276.65$12,442.16
Multi-Stage$1,848.37 - $2,023.78$1,934.47
Blended Fair Value$7,188.31
Current Price$585.00
Upside1,128.77%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-5.36%0.00%17.4723.2923.3127.2322.7623.0123.3819.340.000.00
YoY Growth---24.97%-0.07%-14.41%19.64%-1.10%-1.55%20.89%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.46%2.74%2.52%2.54%2.07%3.41%3.12%2.70%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,443,444.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)809,228.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,634,216.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)688,688.80430,430.50258,258.30
Cash Retained (M)2,634,216.002,634,216.002,634,216.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-688,688.80-430,430.50-258,258.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,945,527.202,203,785.502,375,957.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)51,580.4151,580.4151,580.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share37.7242.7346.06
LTM Dividend per Share15.6915.6915.69
(+) Excess Retained per Share37.7242.7346.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend53.4158.4161.75
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$4,850.48$12,442.16$13,276.65
Upside / Downside729.14%2,026.87%2,169.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,443,444.003,667,267.863,905,640.274,159,506.894,429,874.844,717,816.704,859,351.20
Payout Ratio23.50%36.80%50.10%63.40%76.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)809,228.001,349,570.471,956,738.472,637,136.383,397,718.804,246,035.034,494,899.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,253,401.551,265,282.131,277,162.71
Year 2 PV (M)1,687,804.351,719,952.291,752,403.50
Year 3 PV (M)2,112,596.562,173,241.622,235,036.31
Year 4 PV (M)2,527,935.982,625,153.262,725,147.97
Year 5 PV (M)2,933,978.113,075,690.353,222,826.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)84,824,156.6788,921,195.1593,175,036.94
Equity Value (M)95,339,873.2199,780,514.79104,387,613.69
Shares Outstanding (M)51,580.4151,580.4151,580.41
Fair Value$1,848.37$1,934.47$2,023.78
Upside / Downside215.96%230.68%245.95%

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