Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sildarvinnslan Hf. (SVN.IC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.56 - $1.11$0.77
Multi-Stage$0.44 - $0.48$0.46
Blended Fair Value$0.62
Current Price$0.71
Upside-13.32%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS17.47%0.00%0.010.010.010.000.010.010.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---8.17%-4.44%4,350.20%-95.71%33.51%15.99%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.00%2.05%1.65%0.04%1.46%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)59.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)17.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)42.08
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.957.474.48
Cash Retained (M)42.0842.0842.08
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.95-7.47-4.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)30.1334.6137.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,843.671,843.671,843.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.020.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.020.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.030.030.03
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate5.10%6.10%7.10%
Fair Value$0.56$0.77$1.11
Upside / Downside-21.91%8.34%55.50%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)59.7763.4167.2871.3875.7380.3582.76
Payout Ratio29.60%41.68%53.76%65.84%77.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)17.6926.4336.1747.0059.0172.3176.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.99%9.99%9.99%
Growth Rate5.10%6.10%7.10%
Year 1 PV (M)23.8024.0324.26
Year 2 PV (M)29.3329.9030.46
Year 3 PV (M)34.3335.3236.32
Year 4 PV (M)38.8240.3141.86
Year 5 PV (M)42.8444.9147.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)648.44679.88712.53
Equity Value (M)817.55854.35892.50
Shares Outstanding (M)1,843.671,843.671,843.67
Fair Value$0.44$0.46$0.48
Upside / Downside-37.78%-34.98%-32.07%

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