Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

PT Indo Acidatama Tbk (SRSN.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$75.18 - $116.61$94.36
Multi-Stage$168.96 - $186.29$177.46
Blended Fair Value$135.91
Current Price$68.00
Upside99.86%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%1.001.000.000.002.001.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.00%1.89%0.00%0.00%3.03%1.69%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)48,224.19
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,022.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)42,201.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9,644.846,028.023,616.81
Cash Retained (M)42,201.4342,201.4342,201.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-9,644.84-6,028.02-3,616.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)32,556.6036,173.4138,584.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6,020.006,020.006,020.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.416.016.41
LTM Dividend per Share1.001.001.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.416.016.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.417.017.41
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$75.18$94.36$116.61
Upside / Downside10.55%38.76%71.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)48,224.1947,741.9547,264.5346,791.8846,323.9645,860.7247,236.54
Payout Ratio12.49%27.99%43.49%59.00%74.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,022.7513,363.5720,556.9727,605.1634,510.3441,274.6543,693.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)12,438.2312,565.1512,692.07
Year 2 PV (M)17,808.6518,173.9418,542.95
Year 3 PV (M)22,258.6122,946.9723,649.38
Year 4 PV (M)25,899.5926,973.0028,079.45
Year 5 PV (M)28,831.2130,332.5231,895.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)909,912.86957,294.141,006,628.97
Equity Value (M)1,017,149.141,068,285.721,121,488.54
Shares Outstanding (M)6,020.006,020.006,020.00
Fair Value$168.96$177.46$186.29
Upside / Downside148.47%160.96%173.96%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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