Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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SKAN Group AG (SKAN.SW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$59.48 - $202.84$97.62
Multi-Stage$38.34 - $41.90$40.09
Blended Fair Value$68.85
Current Price$71.60
Upside-3.84%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%22.36%0.350.250.240.470.000.000.000.000.000.60
YoY Growth--39.99%4.17%-49.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%1,200.26%
Dividend Yield--0.46%0.31%0.38%0.53%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.80%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)48.41
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12.93
(=) Cash Retained (M)35.48
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9.686.053.63
Cash Retained (M)35.4835.4835.48
(-) Cash Required (M)-9.68-6.05-3.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)25.8029.4331.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)22.4822.4822.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.151.311.42
LTM Dividend per Share0.570.570.57
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.151.311.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.721.881.99
WACC / Discount Rate8.56%8.56%8.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$59.48$97.62$202.84
Upside / Downside-16.93%36.33%183.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)48.4151.5654.9158.4862.2866.3368.32
Payout Ratio26.70%39.36%52.02%64.68%77.34%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12.9320.2928.5737.8348.1759.7063.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.56%8.56%8.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)18.5218.7018.87
Year 2 PV (M)23.7924.2424.70
Year 3 PV (M)28.7429.5730.41
Year 4 PV (M)33.4034.6936.01
Year 5 PV (M)37.7739.6041.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)719.79754.56790.65
Equity Value (M)862.02901.35942.13
Shares Outstanding (M)22.4822.4822.48
Fair Value$38.34$40.09$41.90
Upside / Downside-46.45%-44.01%-41.48%

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