Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Sandstorm Gold Ltd. (SAND)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: GoldSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.76 - $3.27$2.38
Multi-Stage$1.42 - $1.55$1.48
Blended Fair Value$1.93
Current Price$9.40
Upside-79.45%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.060.060.040.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---1.28%35.42%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.77%1.13%0.83%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)34.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)17.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.884.302.58
Cash Retained (M)17.4317.4317.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.88-4.30-2.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)10.5513.1314.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)300.00300.00300.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.040.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.040.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.090.100.11
WACC / Discount Rate10.99%10.99%10.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1.76$2.38$3.27
Upside / Downside-81.25%-74.68%-65.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)34.4236.6639.0441.5844.2947.1648.58
Payout Ratio49.36%57.49%65.61%73.74%81.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16.9921.0825.6230.6636.2642.4544.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.99%10.99%10.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)18.8118.9919.17
Year 2 PV (M)20.4120.8021.19
Year 3 PV (M)21.8022.4323.06
Year 4 PV (M)23.0023.8924.80
Year 5 PV (M)24.0425.2026.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)318.33333.71349.67
Equity Value (M)426.39445.00464.29
Shares Outstanding (M)300.00300.00300.00
Fair Value$1.42$1.48$1.55
Upside / Downside-84.88%-84.22%-83.54%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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