Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sandnes Sparebank (SADG.OL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,562.62 - $3,039.92$2,848.85
Multi-Stage$461.32 - $505.65$483.08
Blended Fair Value$1,665.97
Current Price$96.00
Upside1,635.38%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS14.62%19.56%5.915.245.847.785.572.991.340.000.990.00
YoY Growth--12.84%-10.36%-24.87%39.67%86.38%123.71%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--5.82%6.05%5.70%9.42%9.86%4.86%2.76%0.00%2.38%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)329.11
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)328.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)65.8241.1424.68
Cash Retained (M)328.71328.71328.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-65.82-41.14-24.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)262.89287.57304.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)21.5321.5321.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share12.2113.3614.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share12.2113.3614.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend12.2313.3714.14
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,562.62$2,848.85$3,039.92
Upside / Downside1,527.73%2,867.56%3,066.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)329.11350.50373.28397.55423.39450.91464.44
Payout Ratio0.12%18.10%36.07%54.05%72.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.4063.43134.65214.87304.94405.82429.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)59.1059.6660.22
Year 2 PV (M)116.88119.11121.36
Year 3 PV (M)173.77178.76183.84
Year 4 PV (M)229.76238.60247.69
Year 5 PV (M)284.88298.64312.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,068.239,506.239,961.00
Equity Value (M)9,932.6210,400.9910,887.02
Shares Outstanding (M)21.5321.5321.53
Fair Value$461.32$483.08$505.65
Upside / Downside380.54%403.20%426.72%

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