Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Saint Jean Groupe S.A. (SABE.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$39.86 - $179.38$92.36
Multi-Stage$20.46 - $22.40$21.42
Blended Fair Value$56.89
Current Price$19.80
Upside187.32%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-15.50%-8.07%0.100.100.100.000.000.230.230.230.230.23
YoY Growth---5.07%-0.30%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%1.51%-1.49%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.48%0.50%0.56%0.00%0.00%0.98%1.07%0.91%1.31%1.76%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.58
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.580.360.22
Cash Retained (M)2.582.582.58
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.58-0.36-0.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.002.212.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.213.213.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.620.690.74
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.620.690.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.720.790.83
WACC / Discount Rate7.37%7.37%7.37%
Growth Rate5.46%6.46%7.46%
Fair Value$39.86$92.36$179.38
Upside / Downside101.29%366.47%805.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2.893.083.283.493.723.964.07
Payout Ratio10.99%26.79%42.60%58.40%74.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.320.831.402.042.763.563.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.37%7.37%7.37%
Growth Rate5.46%6.46%7.46%
Year 1 PV (M)0.760.770.78
Year 2 PV (M)1.191.211.23
Year 3 PV (M)1.601.651.69
Year 4 PV (M)2.002.072.15
Year 5 PV (M)2.382.502.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)57.6860.4763.36
Equity Value (M)65.6168.6671.83
Shares Outstanding (M)3.213.213.21
Fair Value$20.46$21.42$22.40
Upside / Downside3.35%8.16%13.16%

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