Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Ramelius Resources Limited (RMS.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: GoldSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$49.42 - $119.70$112.18
Multi-Stage$17.20 - $18.85$18.01
Blended Fair Value$65.09
Current Price$2.52
Upside2,483.09%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS60.58%0.00%0.060.020.010.020.010.010.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--305.35%140.07%-64.53%25.86%145.78%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.43%0.80%0.50%2.04%0.83%0.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)690.75
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)87.58
(=) Cash Retained (M)603.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)138.1586.3451.81
Cash Retained (M)603.17603.17603.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-138.15-86.34-51.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)465.02516.82551.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,147.631,147.631,147.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.410.450.48
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.410.450.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.480.530.56
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$49.42$112.18$119.70
Upside / Downside1,861.17%4,351.51%4,650.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)690.75735.65783.47834.39888.63946.39974.78
Payout Ratio12.68%28.14%43.61%59.07%74.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)87.58207.04341.65492.89662.35851.75901.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)192.53194.35196.18
Year 2 PV (M)295.43301.06306.74
Year 3 PV (M)396.34407.72419.31
Year 4 PV (M)495.27514.32533.91
Year 5 PV (M)592.26620.86650.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,771.7718,630.1619,521.39
Equity Value (M)19,743.6020,668.4721,628.09
Shares Outstanding (M)1,147.631,147.631,147.63
Fair Value$17.20$18.01$18.85
Upside / Downside582.69%614.67%647.85%

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